Expectations and Fears The impact of the 1992 Elections

Apresentação em tema: "Expectations and Fears The impact of the 1992 Elections"— Transcrição da apresentação:

1 Expectations and Fears The impact of the 1992 Elections
Inge Amundsen, Chr. Michelsen Institute Conferência sobre as Eleições em Angola Centro de Estudos e Investigação Científica (CEIC), Universidade Católica de Angola Terça-Feira, 4 de Novembro de 2008

2 Expectations and Fears
Background CEIC-CMI cooperation Research project Impact of 1992 elections on 2008 parliamentary Wacussanga, Abreu, Amundsen, Søreide CMI Working Paper Expectativas e receios face às eleições de O impacto de 1992

3 Expectations and Fears
Background variables Small sample, many questions Detail and co-variance Two provinces included Luanda and Bié Some biases Large number of civil servants in Bié Urban, higher education, access to information

4 Expectations and Fears
Gender no significant difference Grossly same opinions as men Age some significance Older people will vote more Province some significance Luanda people will vote more Voting patterns Most people will vote same party Nobody will vote for a party because it is new Reconciliation and peace is most important (Federalism not)

5 Affected by the crisis of 1992

6 Fear of (new) civil war

7 Access to information

8 Confidence

9 Opinions on Angolan democracy

10 Fear factors

11 Got it right?