Expectations and Fears The impact of the 1992 Elections

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Transcrição da apresentação:

Expectations and Fears The impact of the 1992 Elections Inge Amundsen, Chr. Michelsen Institute Conferência sobre as Eleições em Angola Centro de Estudos e Investigação Científica (CEIC), Universidade Católica de Angola Terça-Feira, 4 de Novembro de 2008

Expectations and Fears Background CEIC-CMI cooperation Research project Impact of 1992 elections on 2008 parliamentary Wacussanga, Abreu, Amundsen, Søreide CMI Working Paper Expectativas e receios face às eleições de 2008. O impacto de 1992

Expectations and Fears Background variables Small sample, many questions Detail and co-variance Two provinces included Luanda and Bié Some biases Large number of civil servants in Bié Urban, higher education, access to information

Expectations and Fears Gender no significant difference Grossly same opinions as men Age some significance Older people will vote more Province some significance Luanda people will vote more Voting patterns Most people will vote same party Nobody will vote for a party because it is new Reconciliation and peace is most important (Federalism not)

Affected by the crisis of 1992

Fear of (new) civil war

Access to information

Confidence

Opinions on Angolan democracy

Fear factors

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