Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends M.Sc. in Engineering Policy and Management of Technology.

Apresentação em tema: "Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends M.Sc. in Engineering Policy and Management of Technology."— Transcrição da apresentação:

1 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends M.Sc. in Engineering Policy and Management of Technology The Energy System Current Situation and Market Trends Prof. Manuel Heitor mheitor@ist.utl.pt Maria João Rodrigues mjrodrigues@dem.ist.utl.pt

2 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends ESTRUTURA DA AULA @ Apresentação da Disciplina @ Apresentação dos Alunos @ Key elements and concepts of the energy system. Overview of energy technologies. Energy demand. Energy consumption by sector. Energy production. Energy prices. Energy, economy and environment: key relationships and indicators. Energy balances PARTE I 09h00-10h30 PARTE II PARTE II 11h00-13h00 Intervalo: 10h30-11h00

3 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends APRESENTAÇÃO DOS ALUNOS O que entende por Gestão Energética? E por Política Energética? Qual o seu entendimento do programa da disciplina? Qual o seu interesse na disciplina e expectativas?

4 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends APRESENTAÇÃO DOS ALUNOS Nome:Ana Paiva Formação:Engª Produção Industrial Tema Tese:Estratégia de desenvolvimento para o sector do calçado: casos de estudo em empresas Term Paper:

5 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends APRESENTAÇÃO DOS ALUNOS Nome:Ana Oliveira Formação:Engª Ambiente Tema Tese:Optimização de processos industriais, incluindo sistemas de gestão ambiental Term Paper:

6 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends APRESENTAÇÃO DOS ALUNOS Nome:Inês Costa Formação:Engª Ambiente Tema Tese:Estratégias sectoriais de sustentabilidade: o caso do sector do calçado Term Paper:

7 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends APRESENTAÇÃO DOS ALUNOS Nome:Luís Vieira Formação: Tema Tese: Term Paper: Engª Civil Células de Combustível para a produção de electricidade: optimização e gestão de projecto

8 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends APRESENTAÇÃO DOS ALUNOS Nome:Óscar Ferreira Formação:Ciências Militares e Aeronaúticas Tema Tese:Transferência de tecnologia e regulação em motores aeronauticos Term Paper:

9 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends APRESENTAÇÃO DOS ALUNOS Nome:Paulo Rebelo Formação:Engª Electrotécnica Tema Tese:Colaboração empresarial: Projecto colaborativo de novas tecnologias Term Paper:

10 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends APRESENTAÇÃO DOS ALUNOS Nome:Paulo Anastácio Formação:Engª Química Tema Tese:Estratégias para a indústria de vidro, com implicações em componentes automóvel Term Paper:

11 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends APRESENTAÇÃO DOS ALUNOS Nome:Ricardo Manso Formação:Engª Física Tecnológica Tema Tese:Política energética Term Paper:

12 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends APRESENTAÇÃO DOS ALUNOS Nome:Vanessa Pereira Formação:Química Tecnológica Tema Tese:Indústria Química: inovação de processos Term Paper:

13 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends APRESENTAÇÃO DOS ALUNOS Nome:João Paulo Silva Formação:Engenharia e Gestão Industrial Tema Tese:Políticas de Telecomunicações: gestão de Banda Larga – o caso de Lisboa Term Paper:

14 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends APRESENTAÇÃO DA DISCIPLINA OBJECTIVOS Desenvolver competências para a compreensão e análise crítica de políticas energéticas Sensibilizar para as dimensões de sustentabilidade energética Desenvolver competências para a compreensão das questões associadas às políticas públicas energéticas e de gestão de energia de diferentes perspectivas institucionais

15 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends APRESENTAÇÃO DA DISCIPLINA PROGRAMA Class #1 Key elements and concepts of the energy system Overview of energy technologies Energy demand Energy consumption by sector Energy production and prices Energy, economy and environment: key relationships and indicators Energy balances 27/09/2003 Class #2 The driving forces of energy policy Energy policy objectives Energy policy instruments Principles of energy policy design and evaluation 04/10/2003

16 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends APRESENTAÇÃO DA DISCIPLINA PROGRAMA Class #3 Key issues and drivers of energy markets liberalisation Regulation v.s. de-regulation Energy market structure and organisation in the liberalised context Energy market liberalisation and long-term security of supply 03/10/2003 Class #4 Energy efficiency, rational use of energy and demand-side management strategies Overview of end-user sector energy policies Energy policies for buildings – the Portuguese context and international comparisons 18/10/2003

17 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends APRESENTAÇÃO DA DISCIPLINA PROGRAMA Class #5WORKSHOP Critical energy infrastructures in Europe Critical energy infrastructures in Europe – The case of the Netherlands Can the California and New York Crisis occur in Europe? 25/10/2003 Class #6 Overview of supply-side energy policies Renewable energy policies – past, present and prospects in a liberalised market context Complementary issues regarding distributed generation. 08/11/2003

18 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends APRESENTAÇÃO DA DISCIPLINA PROGRAMA Class #7WORKSHOP US State and Federal Renewable Energy Policies Market opportunities for Building-Integrated Photovoltaics in the US Can added values drive BiPV technology diffusion? 15/11/2003 Class #8 The importance of energy R&D in shaping energy policies Energy technologies, technological paths and learning curves Selected world energy R&D Programmes Energy R&D expenditure Entrepreneurship in energy markets 22/11/2003

19 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends APRESENTAÇÃO DA DISCIPLINA PROGRAMA Class #9NEGOTIATION GAME 29/11/2003

20 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends APRESENTAÇÃO DA DISCIPLINA AVALIAÇÃO Home Assignments 25% Classificação Final Negotiation Game 15% Classificação Final Class Participation 15% Classificação Final Term Paper 50% Classificação Final

21 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends APRESENTAÇÃO DA DISCIPLINA AVALIAÇÃO Exercício Balanço Energia 10% Classificação Final Home Assignments 25% Classificação Final Enunciado aula 27/09/2003 Entrega aula 04/10/2003 Trabalho Final – Avaliação Intercalar 15% Classificação Final Apresentação de tema de trabalho: aulas #3 e 4 Apresentação Intercalar trabalho final: aulas #5 e 7 Entrega de relatório intercalar trabalho final: aulas #5 e 7

22 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends APRESENTAÇÃO DA DISCIPLINA AVALIAÇÃO Definir tema com base nas intenções de tese Term Paper 50% Classificação Final Baseado em tecnologia, política pública, análise de processo, análise de produto... Apoio à definição de tema: quintas-feiras manhã Precauções: tempo, extensão e exaustividade. Plágios e referências. Term paper e apresentações intercalares em INGLÊS Tirar partido da participação de convidados

23 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends KEY ELEMENTS AND CONCEPTS OF THE ENERGY SYSTEM Energy supply Power plants Heat plants Gas supply Oil supply... End-Use Energy Heating Oil Gasoline Electricity Natural Gas... Energy Service Demand Car-km Motive Power Light Indoor Heat... Fuel Mix Supply Conversion Efficiency Fuel Mix Energy Intensity ENERGY SYSTEM “UTILITY” Governmental Intervention

24 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends ENERGY SUPPLY Data Source: DGE, 2003 Source: IEA, 2003

25 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends ENERGY SUPPLY Crude Oil OECD Countries: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Korea, Luxembourg, Mexico, The Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Slovak Republic, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, United Kingdom, United States Source: IEA, 2003

26 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends ENERGY SUPPLY Crude Oil Source: IEA, 2003

27 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends ENERGY SUPPLY Crude Oil Reserves Source:BP, 2003 10 9 barrels = 136 Mt R/P 2002 = 40,6 R/P i : Number of years the remaining (proved) oil reserves would last if production remained at same level of year i of analysis

28 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends ENERGY SUPPLY Crude Oil Trade Movements Source: BP, 2003

29 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends ENERGY SUPPLY Natural Gas OECD Countries: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Korea, Luxembourg, Mexico, The Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Slovak Republic, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, United Kingdom, United States Source: IEA, 2003

30 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends ENERGY SUPPLY Natural Gas Source: IEA, 2003

31 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends ENERGY SUPPLY Natural Gas Source:BP, 2003 R/P 2002 = 60,7 R/P i : Number of years the remaining (proved) natural gas reserves would last if production remained at same level of year i of analysis

32 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends ENERGY SUPPLY Natural Gas Trade Movements Source: BP, 2003

33 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends ENERGY SUPPLY Hard Coal OECD Countries: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Korea, Luxembourg, Mexico, The Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Slovak Republic, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, United Kingdom, United States Source: IEA, 2003

34 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends ENERGY SUPPLY Hard Coal Source: IEA, 2003

35 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends ENERGY SUPPLY Hard Coal Source:BP, 2003 R/P 2002 = 204 R/P i : Number of years the remaining (proved) coal reserves would last if production remained at same level of year i of analysis

36 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends END-USE ENERGY Source: IEA, 2003 Data Source: DGE, 2003

37 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends Source: IEA, 2003 ? ? END-USE ENERGY Electricity Fuel Mix

38 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends ENERGY DEMAND Source: IEA, 2003 Oil Data Source: DGE, 2003

39 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends ENERGY DEMAND Natural Gas Source: IEA, 2003 Data Source: DGE, 2003

40 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends ENERGY DEMAND Coal Source: IEA, 2003 Data Source: DGE, 2003

41 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends ENERGY DEMAND Electricity Source: IEA, 2003 Data Source: DGE, 2003

42 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends ENERGY BALANCES

43 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends REFERENCES & FURTHER READING IEA (2000), The IEA Energy Indicators Effort – Increasing the Understanding of the Energy/Emissions Link, presented at COP6 meeting, 13-24 November 2000, The Hague http://www.iea.org/envissu/cop6/eneinl.pdf http://www.iea.org/envissu/cop6/eneinl.pdf IAEA and IEA (2001), Indicators for Sustainable Energy Development, presented at the 9 th session of UN-CSD April 2001 http://www.iea.org/envissu/files/csd-9.pdfhttp://www.iea.org/envissu/files/csd-9.pdf IEA (2001), Energy Indicators and Sustainable Development, presented at COP7 meeting, 29 October–9 November, Marrakesh http://www.iea.org/envissu/cop7sus.pdfhttp://www.iea.org/envissu/cop7sus.pdf IEA (2003), Key World Energy Statistics http://www.iea.org/statist/key2003.pdfhttp://www.iea.org/statist/key2003.pdf BP (2003), BP Statistical Review of World Energy http://www.bp.com/centres/energy/index.asphttp://www.bp.com/centres/energy/index.asp http://www.iea.org/stats/defs/sources/petrol.htm DGE, Balanços Energéticos Nacionais http://www.dge.pt/main.asp?idtemas=3&idsubtemas=1&Idconteudos=905 IEA (1997), The Link between Energy and Human Activity http://library.iea.org/dbtw-wpd/bookshop/b.aspx

44 Energy Management and Policy 27/09/2003The Energy System – Current Situation and Market Trends HOME ASSIGNMENT Source: IEA, 2003 Evolution from 1990 to 2001 of Portuguese Electricity Generation by Fuel (excluding pumped storage) Portuguese 2001 Fuel Shares of Electricity Generation